Brit Predictor

Eibar vs Tenerife prediction

Spain Segunda · Sunday 16 August 2026, 17:00 WAT

Full timeEibar 1–3 TenerifeResult 2

Who wins?

EibarDrawTenerife
Model 1 ✗
55%29%15%
Market 1 ✗
52%27%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates Eibar to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Eibar 55% at home, a draw 29% and Tenerife 15%, so its call is 1: Eibar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 27% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Eibar and 0.5 for Tenerife; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 72%. Careful: there is little recent data on Tenerife, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.3 – 0.5
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 72%
Both teams score30%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Eibar

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LWLWL
  • L 1-2 at Castellon 2026-05-31
  • W 2-0 v Cordoba 2026-05-24
  • L 1-2 at Cultural Leonesa 2026-05-16
  • W 1-0 at Mirandes 2026-05-10
  • L 2-4 v Malaga 2026-05-02

Tenerife

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LLLDD
  • L 0-2 at Almeria 2025-06-01
  • L 0-1 v Oviedo 2025-05-25
  • L 0-1 at Cartagena 2025-05-17
  • D 0-0 v Ferrol 2025-05-11
  • D 1-1 at Levante 2025-05-04

From 929 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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More Spain Segunda games on Sun 16 Aug