Dresden vs Darmstadt prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 16 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dresden to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Dresden 42% at home, a draw 25% and Darmstadt 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 25% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Dresden and 1.5 for Darmstadt; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dresden
Attack 9th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Nurnberg 2026-08-09
- W 2-1 v Holstein Kiel 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Braunschweig 2026-05-09
- W 1-0 v Kaiserslautern 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 at Fortuna Dusseldorf 2026-04-24
Darmstadt
Attack 4th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Holstein Kiel 2026-08-08
- L 0-2 v Paderborn 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Preußen Münster 2026-05-10
- L 1-2 at Karlsruhe 2026-05-03
- D 3-3 v Elversberg 2026-04-25
From 627 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sun 16 Aug
- Bielefeld vs Cottbus · FT 3–0
- Hannover vs Wolfsburg · FT 0–1