Bielefeld vs Cottbus prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 16 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Bielefeld to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Bielefeld 40% at home, a draw 25% and Cottbus 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 62% / 21% / 17%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Bielefeld and 1.6 for Cottbus; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cottbus, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Bielefeld
Attack 11th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Karlsruhe 2026-08-08
- W 6-1 v Hertha 2026-05-17
- L 0-2 at Kaiserslautern 2026-05-08
- D 1-1 v Bochum 2026-05-02
- W 3-2 at Preußen Münster 2026-04-25
Cottbus
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Hannover 2026-08-09
From 627 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sun 16 Aug
- Dresden vs Darmstadt · FT 1–0
- Hannover vs Wolfsburg · FT 0–1