Den Haag vs Groningen prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 16 August 2026, 12:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Den Haag to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Den Haag 43% at home, a draw 29% and Groningen 27%, so its call is 1: Den Haag to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 26% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for Den Haag and 1.1 for Groningen; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 55%. Careful: there is little recent data on Den Haag, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Den Haag
Attack 13th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 at AZ Alkmaar 2026-08-08
Groningen
Attack 12th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Utrecht 2026-08-09
- W 2-1 at Heracles 2026-05-17
- W 2-1 v Nijmegen 2026-05-10
- L 2-3 v Excelsior 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 at Feyenoord 2026-04-25
From 626 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 16 Aug
- Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles · FT 2–2
- Twente vs Zwolle · FT 3–1
- Ajax vs Heerenveen · FT 2–2