Ajax vs Heerenveen prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 16 August 2026, 16:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ajax to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Ajax 62% at home, a draw 23% and Heerenveen 15%, so its call is 1: Ajax to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 18% / 13%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Ajax and 0.9 for Heerenveen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Ajax
Attack 4th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Zwolle 2026-08-09
- D 0-0 at Heerenveen 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 v Utrecht 2026-05-10
- D 2-2 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-05-02
- W 2-0 at NAC Breda 2026-04-25
Heerenveen
Attack 9th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Twente 2026-08-09
- D 0-0 v Ajax 2026-05-17
- L 0-2 at NAC Breda 2026-05-10
- W 2-0 at Volendam 2026-05-03
- W 2-1 v For Sittard 2026-04-25
From 626 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 16 Aug
- Den Haag vs Groningen · FT 1–4
- Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles · FT 2–2
- Twente vs Zwolle · FT 3–1