Sevilla vs Vallecano prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 15 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sevilla to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Sevilla 38% at home, a draw 28% and Vallecano 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 32% / 29%, a call of 1X. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sevilla and 1.1 for Vallecano; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 62%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sevilla
Attack 13th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Celta 2026-05-23
- L 0-1 v Real Madrid 2026-05-17
- W 3-2 at Villarreal 2026-05-13
- W 2-1 v Espanol 2026-05-09
- W 1-0 v Sociedad 2026-05-04
Vallecano
Attack 17th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Alaves 2026-05-23
- W 2-0 v Villarreal 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Valencia 2026-05-14
- D 1-1 v Girona 2026-05-11
- W 2-0 at Getafe 2026-05-03
From 760 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 15 Aug
- Alaves vs Getafe · FT 3–0