Alaves vs Getafe prediction
Spain La Liga · Saturday 15 August 2026, 19:30 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Alaves to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Alaves 39% at home, a draw 33% and Getafe 28%, so its call is 1X: Alaves to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 34% / 25%, a call of 1X. Expected goals are 1.0 for Alaves and 0.8 for Getafe; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 75%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Alaves
Attack 15th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Vallecano 2026-05-23
- W 1-0 at Oviedo 2026-05-17
- W 1-0 v Barcelona 2026-05-13
- D 1-1 at Elche 2026-05-09
- L 2-4 v Ath Bilbao 2026-05-02
Getafe
Attack 19th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Osasuna 2026-05-23
- L 0-1 at Elche 2026-05-17
- W 3-1 v Mallorca 2026-05-13
- D 0-0 at Oviedo 2026-05-10
- L 0-2 v Vallecano 2026-05-03
From 760 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain La Liga games on Sat 15 Aug
- Sevilla vs Vallecano · FT 2–1