Brit Predictor

Hamilton vs Airdrie Utd prediction

Scotland League One · Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeHamilton 4–0 Airdrie UtdResult 1

Who wins?

HamiltonDrawAirdrie Utd
Model 1 ✓
44%30%26%
Market 1 ✓
50%26%24%

Brit Predictor's model rates Hamilton to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Hamilton 44% at home, a draw 30% and Airdrie Utd 26%, so its call is 1: Hamilton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hamilton and 1.0 for Airdrie Utd; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 58%. Careful: there is little recent data on Airdrie Utd, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 58%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Hamilton

Attack 2nd of 10, defence 3rd of 10 in the league.

WWLWW
  • W 1-0 v Alloa 2026-08-08
  • W 5-0 at Montrose 2026-08-01
  • L 1-2 at Inverness C 2026-05-02
  • W 3-1 v Peterhead 2026-04-25
  • W 2-0 at Montrose 2026-04-18

Airdrie Utd

Attack 9th of 10, defence 1st of 10 in the league.

DD
  • D 1-1 v East Kilbride 2026-08-08
  • D 0-0 at Cove Rangers 2026-08-01

From 370 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.

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