Alloa vs Montrose prediction
Scotland League One · Saturday 15 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Alloa to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Alloa 56% at home, a draw 24% and Montrose 20%, so its call is 1: Alloa to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 27% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Alloa and 1.1 for Montrose; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Alloa
Attack 4th of 10, defence 4th of 10 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Hamilton 2026-08-08
- D 0-0 v East Fife 2026-08-01
- L 1-4 v Queen of Sth 2026-05-02
- L 0-1 at Stenhousemuir 2026-04-25
- W 2-0 v East Fife 2026-04-18
Montrose
Attack 6th of 10, defence 10th of 10 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Ross County 2026-08-08
- L 0-5 v Hamilton 2026-08-01
- L 0-2 v Stenhousemuir 2026-05-02
- D 2-2 at Queen of Sth 2026-04-25
- L 0-2 v Hamilton 2026-04-18
From 370 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland League One games on Sat 15 Aug
- East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers · FT 3–0
- Hamilton vs Airdrie Utd · FT 4–0
- Peterhead vs East Fife · FT 2–1