St Pauli vs Greuther Furth prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 9 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Pauli to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives St Pauli 56% at home, a draw 22% and Greuther Furth 22%, so its call is 1: St Pauli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 59% / 22% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.1 for St Pauli and 1.2 for Greuther Furth; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 64%. Careful: there is little recent data on St Pauli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
St Pauli
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
No recent league games.
Greuther Furth
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 3-0 v Fortuna Dusseldorf 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Hertha 2026-05-10
- D 1-1 v Nurnberg 2026-05-03
- L 1-2 at Bochum 2026-04-26
- W 3-2 v Darmstadt 2026-04-19
From 618 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sun 9 Aug
- Cottbus vs Hannover · FT 3–1
- Nurnberg vs Dresden · FT 3–0