Nurnberg vs Dresden prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Sunday 9 August 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Nurnberg to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Nurnberg 45% at home, a draw 25% and Dresden 30%, so its call is 1: Nurnberg to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 27% / 35%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.7 for Nurnberg and 1.4 for Dresden; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 60%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Nurnberg
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 3-3 at Hannover 2026-05-17
- W 3-0 v Schalke 04 2026-05-09
- D 1-1 at Greuther Furth 2026-05-03
- W 1-0 v Magdeburg 2026-04-26
- D 1-1 at Bielefeld 2026-04-18
Dresden
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- W 2-1 v Holstein Kiel 2026-05-17
- L 1-2 at Braunschweig 2026-05-09
- W 1-0 v Kaiserslautern 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 at Fortuna Dusseldorf 2026-04-24
- W 2-0 v Bochum 2026-04-18
From 618 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sun 9 Aug
- Cottbus vs Hannover · FT 3–1
- St Pauli vs Greuther Furth · FT 1–1