Gil Vicente vs Rio Ave prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 9 August 2026, 21:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Gil Vicente to win as the most likely result (57%). It gives Gil Vicente 57% at home, a draw 23% and Rio Ave 20%, so its call is 1: Gil Vicente to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 28% / 26%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Gil Vicente and 0.9 for Rio Ave; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Gil Vicente
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- L 0-3 at Sp Lisbon 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 v Arouca 2026-05-11
- D 0-0 at Rio Ave 2026-05-03
- W 2-1 v Casa Pia 2026-04-27
- L 0-1 v Guimaraes 2026-04-18
Rio Ave
Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.
- D 1-1 at Casa Pia 2026-05-16
- L 1-4 v Sp Lisbon 2026-05-11
- D 0-0 v Gil Vicente 2026-05-03
- L 0-2 at Guimaraes 2026-04-25
- D 2-2 v AVS 2026-04-17
From 616 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sun 9 Aug
- Porto vs Alverca · FT 2–0
- Benfica vs Academico Viseu · FT 2–2
- Moreirense vs Sp Braga · FT 2–2