St Mirren vs St Johnstone prediction
Scotland Premiership · Saturday 8 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates St Mirren to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives St Mirren 47% at home, a draw 27% and St Johnstone 26%, so its call is 1: St Mirren to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 28% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for St Mirren and 1.0 for St Johnstone; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on St Johnstone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
St Mirren
Attack 12th of 12, defence 6th of 12 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Falkirk 2026-08-01
- D 1-1 v Dundee United 2026-05-17
- W 2-0 at Aberdeen 2026-05-12
- L 0-3 v Kilmarnock 2026-05-09
- L 0-1 at Dundee 2026-05-02
St Johnstone
Attack 10th of 12, defence 11th of 12 in the league.
- W 4-3 v Kilmarnock 2026-08-02
- L 0-2 v Dundee 2025-05-18
- L 1-2 at Hearts 2025-05-14
- W 2-1 v Ross County 2025-05-10
- L 0-2 v Kilmarnock 2025-05-03
From 462 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sat 8 Aug
- Dundee vs Aberdeen · FT 2–0