Dundee vs Aberdeen prediction
Scotland Premiership · Saturday 8 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dundee to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Dundee 44% at home, a draw 26% and Aberdeen 30%, so its call is 1: Dundee to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 27% / 40%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Dundee and 1.2 for Aberdeen; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 50%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dundee
Attack 8th of 12, defence 10th of 12 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Celtic 2026-08-03
- W 3-2 v Aberdeen 2026-05-17
- L 1-3 at Kilmarnock 2026-05-12
- W 3-0 v Livingston 2026-05-09
- W 1-0 v St Mirren 2026-05-02
Aberdeen
Attack 11th of 12, defence 7th of 12 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Hearts 2026-08-01
- L 2-3 at Dundee 2026-05-17
- L 0-2 v St Mirren 2026-05-12
- W 2-0 v Dundee United 2026-05-09
- D 2-2 at Livingston 2026-05-01
From 462 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Sat 8 Aug
- St Mirren vs St Johnstone · FT 1–0
