Brit Predictor

Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Saturday 8 August 2026, 18:45 WAT

Full timeGo Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem IIResult 1

Who wins?

Go Ahead EaglesDrawWillem II
Model 1 ✓
65%22%13%
Market 1 ✓
65%20%15%

Brit Predictor's model rates Go Ahead Eagles to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives Go Ahead Eagles 65% at home, a draw 22% and Willem II 13%, so its call is 1: Go Ahead Eagles to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 65% / 20% / 15%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Go Ahead Eagles and 0.8 for Willem II; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%. Careful: there is little recent data on Willem II, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
GoalsOver 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score49%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Go Ahead Eagles

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

LLDDD
  • L 1-2 at Nijmegen 2026-05-17
  • L 1-4 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-05-10
  • D 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam 2026-05-03
  • D 0-0 v AZ Alkmaar 2026-04-23
  • D 0-0 at Groningen 2026-04-11

Willem II

Attack new to the league, defence new to the league in the league.

DLLDL
  • D 1-1 at NAC Breda 2025-05-18
  • L 1-2 v Zwolle 2025-05-14
  • L 1-2 v Heracles 2025-05-09
  • D 1-1 at Nijmegen 2025-05-03
  • L 0-1 at For Sittard 2025-04-27

From 613 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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