Dunfermline vs Ayr prediction
Scotland Championship · Saturday 8 August 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dunfermline to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Dunfermline 42% at home, a draw 32% and Ayr 25%, so its call is 1X: Dunfermline to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 28% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dunfermline and 1.0 for Ayr; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Dunfermline
Attack 6th of 10, defence 5th of 10 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Inverness C 2026-08-01
- D 0-0 v Arbroath 2026-05-01
- W 2-0 at Queens Park 2026-04-25
- L 0-2 v St Johnstone 2026-04-21
- D 2-2 at Airdrie Utd 2026-04-14
Ayr
Attack 5th of 10, defence 8th of 10 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Arbroath 2026-08-01
- L 0-1 v St Johnstone 2026-05-01
- L 1-2 at Airdrie Utd 2026-04-25
- L 1-2 at Ross County 2026-04-18
- W 1-0 v Arbroath 2026-04-11
From 366 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Championship games on Sat 8 Aug
- Stenhousemuir vs Morton · FT 2–0
- Arbroath vs Inverness C · FT 0–0
- Queens Park vs Raith Rvs · FT 1–2