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Dunfermline vs Arbroath prediction

Scotland Championship · Saturday 14 November 2026, 16:00 WAT

Who wins?

DunfermlineDrawArbroath
Model 1
53%30%16%

No bookmaker odds for this game.

Brit Predictor's model rates Dunfermline to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Dunfermline 53% at home, a draw 30% and Arbroath 16%, so its call is 1: Dunfermline to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dunfermline and 0.7 for Arbroath; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 64%.

Expected goals1.4 – 0.7
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 64%
Both teams score40%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 19:39 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Dunfermline

Attack 5th of 10, defence 3rd of 10 in the league.

WWWDD
  • W 5-1 v Inverness C 2026-10-31
  • W 1-0 at Stenhousemuir 2026-10-27
  • W 1-0 at Queens Park 2026-10-24
  • D 1-1 v Partick 2026-10-20
  • D 0-0 v Livingston 2026-10-17

Arbroath

Attack 9th of 10, defence 7th of 10 in the league.

LLLLL
  • L 0-4 v Raith Rvs 2026-10-31
  • L 0-1 at Livingston 2026-10-24
  • L 0-2 at Inverness C 2026-10-17
  • L 1-2 v Morton 2026-10-10
  • L 0-3 at Partick 2026-10-03

From 424 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.

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