Brit Predictor
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Sunderland vs Chelsea prediction

England Premier League · Sunday 8 November 2026, 15:00 WAT

Who wins?

SunderlandDrawChelsea
Model 2
27%27%45%

No bookmaker odds for this game.

Brit Predictor's model rates Chelsea to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Sunderland 27% at home, a draw 27% and Chelsea 45%, so its call is 2: Chelsea to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sunderland and 1.5 for Chelsea; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 50%.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
GoalsOver 2.5 · 50%
Both teams score55%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 13:53 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Team news

Sunderland

  • Ballard (DEF, rotation): injured · Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
  • Alderete (DEF, rotation): suspended · Suspended until 21 Nov
  • Mundle (MID, fringe): injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
  • Mukiele (DEF, key player): doubtful · Concussion - 75% chance of playing
  • Diarra (MID, fringe): doubtful · Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing

Chelsea

  • Lacroix (DEF, key player): injured · Hamstring injury - Unknown return date
  • Martinez (GK, key player): injured · Head injury - Unknown return date
  • João Pedro (FWD, key player): injured · Thigh injury - Unknown return date
  • Hato (DEF, rotation): injured · Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
  • James (DEF, rotation): injured · Knee injury - Unknown return date
  • Gittens (MID, fringe): injured · Ankle injury - Unknown return date
  • Anselmino (DEF, fringe): injured · Unspecified injury - Unknown return date
  • Henderson (MID, rotation): doubtful · Illness - 75% chance of playing

Source: Fantasy Premier League, club-sourced.

Strength and form

Sunderland

Attack 20th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.

LDLLL
  • L 1-3 at Coventry 2026-10-31
  • D 0-0 v Leeds 2026-10-25
  • L 0-2 at Bournemouth 2026-10-18
  • L 0-2 v Brighton 2026-10-10
  • L 3-5 at Man City 2026-09-20

Chelsea

Attack 5th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.

WLWWL
  • W 2-0 v Man United 2026-10-31
  • L 0-2 v Tottenham 2026-10-24
  • W 2-0 at Everton 2026-10-17
  • W 5-1 v Bournemouth 2026-10-10
  • L 0-3 at Brentford 2026-09-18

From 850 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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