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Napoli vs Lazio prediction

Italy Serie A · Sunday 8 November 2026, 12:30 WAT

Who wins?

NapoliDrawLazio
Model 1
45%27%28%

No bookmaker odds for this game.

Brit Predictor's model rates Napoli to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Napoli 45% at home, a draw 27% and Lazio 28%, so its call is 1: Napoli to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Napoli and 1.0 for Lazio; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 56%
Both teams score48%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 13:53 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Napoli

Attack 7th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.

LWDLW
  • L 0-2 at Juventus 2026-11-01
  • W 4-1 at Monza 2026-10-28
  • D 3-3 v Roma 2026-10-24
  • L 0-1 at Venezia 2026-10-17
  • W 3-0 v Frosinone 2026-10-10

Lazio

Attack 9th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.

WWWWW
  • W 2-1 v Cagliari 2026-11-01
  • W 6-2 at Sassuolo 2026-10-27
  • W 2-1 v Parma 2026-10-24
  • W 3-0 at Juventus 2026-10-18
  • W 3-1 v Monza 2026-10-11

From 860 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.

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More Italy Serie A games on Sun 8 Nov