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AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 8 November 2026, 16:45 WAT

Who wins?

AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
Model 1
51%25%24%

No bookmaker odds for this game.

Brit Predictor's model rates AZ Alkmaar to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives AZ Alkmaar 51% at home, a draw 25% and Groningen 24%, so its call is 1: AZ Alkmaar to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.2 for Groningen; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 58%.

Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
GoalsOver 2.5 · 58%
Both teams score59%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 13:53 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

AZ Alkmaar

Attack 9th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.

LLDLW
  • L 0-1 at Ajax 2026-10-31
  • L 0-2 v Twente 2026-10-25
  • D 2-2 at Cambuur 2026-10-18
  • L 0-2 at Feyenoord 2026-10-10
  • W 1-0 v Telstar 2026-09-20

Groningen

Attack 10th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.

LDLWW
  • L 2-3 v Sparta Rotterdam 2026-11-01
  • D 2-2 at Nijmegen 2026-10-25
  • L 2-5 v Ajax 2026-10-18
  • W 5-1 at Excelsior 2026-10-11
  • W 3-0 v Zwolle 2026-09-18

From 711 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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