Brit Predictor
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Paris SG vs Troyes prediction

France Ligue 1 · Saturday 7 November 2026, 21:05 WAT

Who wins?

Paris SGDrawTroyes
Model 1
85%11%

No bookmaker odds for this game.

Brit Predictor's model rates Paris SG to win as the most likely result (85%). It gives Paris SG 85% at home, a draw 11% and Troyes 4%, so its call is 1: Paris SG to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Paris SG and 0.6 for Troyes; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 71%. Careful: there is little recent data on Troyes, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals3.1 – 0.6
GoalsOver 2.5 · 71% O2.5
Both teams score44%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 08:49 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Paris SG

Attack 1st of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.

WWWWW
  • W 5-1 at Le Havre 2026-10-30
  • W 2-0 v Lyon 2026-10-26
  • W 3-1 at Strasbourg 2026-10-17
  • W 3-1 v Le Mans 2026-10-10
  • W 2-1 at Marseille 2026-09-20

Troyes

Attack 17th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.

WDLLL
  • W 2-0 v Le Mans 2026-10-31
  • D 0-0 at Toulouse 2026-10-25
  • L 1-3 v Lens 2026-10-17
  • L 0-2 v Marseille 2026-10-11
  • L 0-2 at Angers 2026-09-19

From 693 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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