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Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction

Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 7 November 2026, 15:30 WAT

Who wins?

MainzDrawBayern Munich
Model 2
12%15%74%

No bookmaker odds for this game.

Brit Predictor's model rates Bayern Munich to win as the most likely result (74%). It gives Mainz 12% at home, a draw 15% and Bayern Munich 74%, so its call is 2: Bayern Munich to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Mainz and 3.0 for Bayern Munich; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 78%.

Expected goals1.2 – 3.0
GoalsOver 2.5 · 78% O2.5
Both teams score66%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 08:49 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Mainz

Attack 10th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.

LLWLW
  • L 1-4 at Elversberg 2026-10-30
  • L 2-3 v Werder Bremen 2026-10-24
  • W 1-0 at Schalke 04 2026-10-17
  • L 3-4 v Leverkusen 2026-10-10
  • W 4-3 at M'gladbach 2026-09-19

Bayern Munich

Attack 1st of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.

DWWDW
  • D 2-2 v Dortmund 2026-10-31
  • W 3-1 at Freiburg 2026-10-25
  • W 6-1 v RB Leipzig 2026-10-17
  • D 2-2 at Augsburg 2026-10-10
  • W 7-0 v Union Berlin 2026-09-18

From 684 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.

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