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Alverca vs Casa Pia prediction

Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 7 November 2026, 19:00 WAT

Who wins?

AlvercaDrawCasa Pia
Model 1
52%25%23%

No bookmaker odds for this game.

Brit Predictor's model rates Alverca to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Alverca 52% at home, a draw 25% and Casa Pia 23%, so its call is 1: Alverca to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Alverca and 0.9 for Casa Pia; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 59%.

Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 59%
Both teams score44%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-04 08:49 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Alverca

Attack 11th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.

LLWWW
  • L 0-1 at Benfica 2026-11-02
  • L 0-1 v Arouca 2026-10-24
  • W 4-1 at Famalicao 2026-10-12
  • W 1-0 v Rio Ave 2026-09-19
  • W 3-1 at Nacional 2026-09-12

Casa Pia

Attack 18th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.

LWLWL
  • L 0-2 v Sp Lisbon 2026-10-30
  • W 2-0 at Estrela 2026-10-24
  • L 0-1 v Santa Clara 2026-10-10
  • W 2-1 at Estoril 2026-09-20
  • L 1-4 v Porto 2026-09-12

From 702 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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