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Montpellier vs Metz prediction

France Ligue 2 · Friday 6 November 2026, 20:00 WAT

Who wins?

MontpellierDrawMetz
Model 1
51%27%22%

No bookmaker odds for this game.

Brit Predictor's model rates Montpellier to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Montpellier 51% at home, a draw 27% and Metz 22%, so its call is 1: Montpellier to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Montpellier and 0.9 for Metz; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%. Careful: there is little recent data on Metz, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 60%
Both teams score44%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 17:31 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Montpellier

Attack 10th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.

WWWWD
  • W 3-0 at Annecy 2026-10-31
  • W 2-1 v Red Star 2026-10-26
  • W 3-0 at Rodez 2026-10-19
  • W 2-0 v Grenoble 2026-10-09
  • D 1-1 at Reims 2026-09-18

Metz

Attack 3rd of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.

LDWLD
  • L 1-3 v Pau FC 2026-10-30
  • D 1-1 at Dunkerque 2026-10-23
  • W 3-2 v Sochaux 2026-10-17
  • L 2-4 at Dijon 2026-10-12
  • D 2-2 v St Etienne 2026-09-19

From 710 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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