Derby vs Bolton prediction
England Championship · Friday 6 November 2026, 21:00 WAT
Who wins?
No bookmaker odds for this game.
Brit Predictor's model rates Derby to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Derby 51% at home, a draw 24% and Bolton 25%, so its call is 1: Derby to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Derby and 1.2 for Bolton; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 57%. Careful: there is little recent data on Bolton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 17:31 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Derby
Attack 15th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Millwall 2026-10-31
- D 1-1 at Sheffield United 2026-10-24
- L 0-1 v Stoke 2026-10-17
- L 1-4 at QPR 2026-10-14
- D 1-1 v Wrexham 2026-10-10
Bolton
Attack 13th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- L 2-3 v Bristol City 2026-10-31
- L 1-5 v Middlesbrough 2026-10-23
- D 0-0 at Southampton 2026-10-17
- W 3-1 at Wolves 2026-10-13
- L 1-2 v Stoke 2026-10-10
From 1260 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.