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Ascoli vs Palermo prediction

Italy Serie B · Friday 6 November 2026, 20:30 WAT

Who wins?

AscoliDrawPalermo
Model 12
34%31%35%

No bookmaker odds for this game.

Brit Predictor's model rates Palermo to win as the most likely result (35%). It gives Ascoli 34% at home, a draw 31% and Palermo 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). Expected goals are 1.2 for Ascoli and 1.2 for Palermo; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 56%. Careful: there is little recent data on Ascoli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 56%
Both teams score51%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 17:31 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Ascoli

Attack 6th of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.

DWWDD
  • D 0-0 at Arezzo 2026-11-01
  • W 2-0 v Sampdoria 2026-10-27
  • W 6-1 at Catanzaro 2026-10-24
  • D 1-1 v Empoli 2026-10-17
  • D 0-0 at Sudtirol 2026-10-10

Palermo

Attack 1st of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.

WDWWW
  • W 3-1 v Vicenza 2026-11-01
  • D 3-3 at Pisa 2026-10-28
  • W 2-1 v Carrarese 2026-10-25
  • W 2-0 at Mantova 2026-10-17
  • W 4-2 at Empoli 2026-10-10

From 860 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Fri 6 Nov