Brit Predictor
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Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty prediction

UEFA Conference League · Thursday 5 November 2026, 18:45 WAT

Who wins?

AtalantaDrawKairat Almaty
Model 1
85%10%
Market 1
84%11%

Brit Predictor's model rates Atalanta to win as the most likely result (85%). It gives Atalanta 85% at home, a draw 10% and Kairat Almaty 5%, so its call is 1: Atalanta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 84% / 11% / 5%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.4 for Atalanta and 0.8 for Kairat Almaty; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 78%.

Expected goals3.4 – 0.8
GoalsOver 2.5 · 78% O2.5
Both teams score53%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-03 16:40 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Atalanta

Attack 3rd of 36, defence 4th of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: Italy Serie A.

LDDLL
  • L 0-3 v Parma 2026-11-02
  • D 2-2 at Fiorentina 2026-10-29
  • D 4-4 v Frosinone 2026-10-25
  • L 0-2 at Ajax Amsterdam 2026-10-22
  • L 2-3 at AC Milan 2026-10-18

Kairat Almaty

Attack 23rd of 36, defence 33rd of 36 among this competition's clubs. League: a league we don't cover.

LDLLL
  • L 1-5 v Panathinaikos 2026-10-22
  • D 1-1 at Riga FC 2026-10-15
  • L 2-3 at Arsenal 2026-01-28
  • L 1-4 v Club Brugge 2026-01-20
  • L 0-1 v Olympiacos 2025-12-09

From 20955 league, cup and European matches since 2024-07-13, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Thu 5 Nov

More UEFA Conference League games on Thu 5 Nov