Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
Italy Serie A · Monday 2 November 2026, 18:30 WAT
Who wins?
SassuoloDrawFiorentina
Model 12
38%24%37%
Market 12
34%25%41%
Brit Predictor's model rates Sassuolo to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Sassuolo 38% at home, a draw 24% and Fiorentina 37%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 25% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Sassuolo and 1.5 for Fiorentina; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score59%
Locked before kick-off (2026-11-02 11:39 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sassuolo
Attack 11th of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
LLLDL
- L 2-6 v Lazio 2026-10-27
- L 0-2 at Como 2026-10-24
- L 2-4 at Frosinone 2026-10-16
- D 1-1 v Milan 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 at Monza 2026-09-18
Fiorentina
Attack 12th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
DLLLD
- D 2-2 v Atalanta 2026-10-29
- L 1-2 at Inter 2026-10-25
- L 1-3 v Como 2026-10-18
- L 1-2 at Genoa 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 v Napoli 2026-09-20
From 858 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.