Atalanta vs Parma prediction
Italy Serie A · Monday 2 November 2026, 20:45 WAT
Who wins?
AtalantaDrawParma
Model 1
63%23%14%
Market 1
66%20%14%
Brit Predictor's model rates Atalanta to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Atalanta 63% at home, a draw 23% and Parma 14%, so its call is 1: Atalanta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 66% / 20% / 14%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Atalanta and 0.7 for Parma; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.7 – 0.7
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score41%
Locked before kick-off (2026-11-02 11:39 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Atalanta
Attack 4th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
DDLWL
- D 2-2 at Fiorentina 2026-10-29
- D 4-4 v Frosinone 2026-10-25
- L 2-3 at Milan 2026-10-18
- W 3-1 v Venezia 2026-10-12
- L 0-2 at Juventus 2026-09-20
Parma
Attack 19th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
DLLLW
- D 0-0 v Udinese 2026-10-28
- L 1-2 at Lazio 2026-10-24
- L 0-3 v Torino 2026-10-19
- L 0-3 at Inter 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 v Genoa 2026-09-20
From 858 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.