Brit Predictor

Gil Vicente vs Guimaraes prediction

Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 2 November 2026, 21:15 WAT

Who wins?

Gil VicenteDrawGuimaraes
Model 1
43%28%29%
Market 12
33%29%38%

Brit Predictor's model rates Gil Vicente to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Gil Vicente 43% at home, a draw 28% and Guimaraes 29%, so its call is 1: Gil Vicente to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 29% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Gil Vicente and 0.9 for Guimaraes; the single most likely score is 1-0.

Expected goals1.2 – 0.9
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams score42%

Locked before kick-off (2026-11-02 11:39 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Gil Vicente

Attack 11th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.

LWWDL
  • L 0-1 v Porto 2026-10-24
  • W 2-1 at Sp Braga 2026-10-19
  • W 1-0 at Moreirense 2026-10-09
  • D 1-1 v Maritimo 2026-09-19
  • L 1-3 at Benfica 2026-09-13

Guimaraes

Attack 9th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.

WLDLD
  • W 5-0 v Maritimo 2026-10-23
  • L 0-2 at Benfica 2026-10-11
  • D 1-1 v Moreirense 2026-09-20
  • L 1-2 at Academico Viseu 2026-09-12
  • D 0-0 v Casa Pia 2026-09-06

From 700 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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