Benfica vs Alverca prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Monday 2 November 2026, 21:15 WAT
Who wins?
BenficaDrawAlverca
Model 1
81%12%
Market 1
84%10%
Brit Predictor's model rates Benfica to win as the most likely result (81%). It gives Benfica 81% at home, a draw 12% and Alverca 7%, so its call is 1: Benfica to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 84% / 10% / 5%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.8 for Benfica and 0.7 for Alverca; the single most likely score is 2-0.
Expected goals2.8 – 0.7
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams score47%
Locked before kick-off (2026-11-02 11:39 UTC) and graded on that call. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Benfica
Attack 2nd of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
WWLWW
- W 2-1 at Santa Clara 2026-10-26
- W 2-0 v Guimaraes 2026-10-11
- L 1-3 at Porto 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 v Gil Vicente 2026-09-13
- W 4-0 at Moreirense 2026-09-09
Alverca
Attack 10th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
LWWWL
- L 0-1 v Arouca 2026-10-24
- W 4-1 at Famalicao 2026-10-12
- W 1-0 v Rio Ave 2026-09-19
- W 3-1 at Nacional 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 v Sp Braga 2026-09-05
From 700 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.