Brit Predictor

Sp Braga vs Famalicao prediction

Portugal Primeira Liga · Sunday 1 November 2026, 21:30 WAT

Full timeSp Braga 3–0 FamalicaoResult 1

Who wins?

Sp BragaDrawFamalicao
Model 1 ✓
46%26%28%
Market 1 ✓
54%27%19%

Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Braga to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Sp Braga 46% at home, a draw 26% and Famalicao 28%, so its call is 1: Sp Braga to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 27% / 19%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sp Braga and 1.0 for Famalicao; the single most likely score is 1-0.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams score45%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Sp Braga

Attack 4th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.

LLLDW
  • L 0-1 at Nacional 2026-10-25
  • L 1-2 v Gil Vicente 2026-10-19
  • L 1-3 v Sp Lisbon 2026-10-09
  • D 0-0 at Santa Clara 2026-09-20
  • W 1-0 v Estoril 2026-09-14

Famalicao

Attack 8th of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.

WLWDD
  • W 4-0 at Rio Ave 2026-10-25
  • L 1-4 v Alverca 2026-10-12
  • W 4-0 at Nacional 2026-09-19
  • D 1-1 v Sp Lisbon 2026-09-13
  • D 2-2 at Estrela 2026-09-05

From 696 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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