Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 1 November 2026, 16:45 WAT
Full timeGroningen 2–3 Sparta RotterdamResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
GroningenDrawSparta Rotterdam
Model 1 ✗
55%24%21%
Market 1 ✗
55%22%23%
Brit Predictor's model rates Groningen to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Groningen 55% at home, a draw 24% and Sparta Rotterdam 21%, so its call is 1: Groningen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 22% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Groningen and 1.1 for Sparta Rotterdam; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score59%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Groningen
Attack 10th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.
DLWWD
- D 2-2 at Nijmegen 2026-10-25
- L 2-5 v Ajax 2026-10-18
- W 5-1 at Excelsior 2026-10-11
- W 3-0 v Zwolle 2026-09-18
- D 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-09-12
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack 16th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
LWDLL
- L 1-2 v Ajax 2026-10-25
- W 3-2 v Willem II 2026-10-17
- D 3-3 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-10-10
- L 0-4 v Heerenveen 2026-09-19
- L 1-4 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-09-13
From 707 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 1 Nov
- Zwolle vs Den Haag · FT 1–0
- Excelsior vs Twente · FT 0–9
- Telstar vs Utrecht · FT 4–2