Brit Predictor

Excelsior vs Twente prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 1 November 2026, 14:30 WAT

Full timeExcelsior 0–9 TwenteResult 2

Who wins?

ExcelsiorDrawTwente
Model 2 ✓
25%26%49%
Market 2 ✓
18%20%62%

Brit Predictor's model rates Twente to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Excelsior 25% at home, a draw 26% and Twente 49%, so its call is 2: Twente to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 18% / 20% / 62%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Excelsior and 1.7 for Twente; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.7
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Excelsior

Attack 13th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.

LLLDL
  • L 0-1 at For Sittard 2026-10-25
  • L 0-4 at Heerenveen 2026-10-16
  • L 1-5 v Groningen 2026-10-11
  • D 2-2 at Ajax 2026-09-19
  • L 1-2 v Utrecht 2026-09-13

Twente

Attack 6th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.

WLDWW
  • W 2-0 at AZ Alkmaar 2026-10-25
  • L 1-2 v Utrecht 2026-10-18
  • D 1-1 at For Sittard 2026-10-10
  • W 3-2 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-09-20
  • W 2-0 v Den Haag 2026-09-12

From 707 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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