Brit Predictor

Porto vs Estoril prediction

Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 31 October 2026, 21:30 WAT

Full timePorto 4–0 EstorilResult 1

Who wins?

PortoDrawEstoril
Model 1 ✓
79%14%
Market 1 ✓
82%13%

Brit Predictor's model rates Porto to win as the most likely result (79%). It gives Porto 79% at home, a draw 14% and Estoril 7%, so its call is 1: Porto to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 82% / 13% / 5%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.5 for Porto and 0.6 for Estoril; the single most likely score is 2-0.

Expected goals2.5 – 0.6
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score42%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Porto

Attack 3rd of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.

WWWWW
  • W 1-0 at Gil Vicente 2026-10-24
  • W 2-1 at Maritimo 2026-10-10
  • W 3-1 v Benfica 2026-09-20
  • W 4-1 at Casa Pia 2026-09-12
  • W 2-1 v Moreirense 2026-09-04

Estoril

Attack 6th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.

LLLLD
  • L 1-3 v Moreirense 2026-10-25
  • L 1-2 at Academico Viseu 2026-10-10
  • L 1-2 v Casa Pia 2026-09-20
  • L 0-1 at Sp Braga 2026-09-14
  • D 0-0 v Arouca 2026-09-07

From 694 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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