Moreirense vs Estrela prediction
Portugal Primeira Liga · Saturday 31 October 2026, 16:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Moreirense to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Moreirense 46% at home, a draw 24% and Estrela 30%, so its call is 1: Moreirense to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 28% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Moreirense and 1.2 for Estrela; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Moreirense
Attack 12th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Estoril 2026-10-25
- L 0-1 v Gil Vicente 2026-10-09
- D 1-1 at Guimaraes 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 v Maritimo 2026-09-14
- L 0-4 v Benfica 2026-09-09
Estrela
Attack 14th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Casa Pia 2026-10-24
- L 0-1 at Arouca 2026-10-11
- L 0-2 v Academico Viseu 2026-09-20
- D 3-3 at Rio Ave 2026-09-14
- W 2-1 v Sp Braga 2026-09-10
From 694 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Portugal Primeira Liga games on Sat 31 Oct
- Porto vs Estoril · FT 4–0