Brit Predictor

Leicester vs Stevenage prediction

England League One · Saturday 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeLeicester 2–2 StevenageResult X

Who wins?

LeicesterDrawStevenage
Model 1 ✗
44%28%28%
Market 1 ✗
57%23%21%

Brit Predictor's model rates Leicester to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Leicester 44% at home, a draw 28% and Stevenage 28%, so its call is 1: Leicester to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 57% / 23% / 21%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Leicester and 1.0 for Stevenage; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Leicester, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Leicester

Attack 7th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.

WLWWL
  • W 3-0 v Wigan 2026-10-27
  • L 1-2 at Luton 2026-10-24
  • W 4-0 at Bromley 2026-10-20
  • W 2-1 v Doncaster 2026-10-17
  • L 1-3 v Peterboro 2026-10-10

Stevenage

Attack 21st of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

LWLWL
  • L 0-1 v Milton Keynes Dons 2026-10-24
  • W 3-0 v Plymouth 2026-10-20
  • L 0-2 at Bradford 2026-10-17
  • W 1-0 v Wigan 2026-10-10
  • L 0-1 at Leyton Orient 2026-09-19

From 1247 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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