Brit Predictor

Barnsley vs Oxford prediction

England League One · Saturday 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeBarnsley 1–1 OxfordResult X

Who wins?

BarnsleyDrawOxford
Model 2 ✗
19%21%59%
Market 12 ✗
37%24%39%

Brit Predictor's model rates Oxford to win as the most likely result (59%). It gives Barnsley 19% at home, a draw 21% and Oxford 59%, so its call is 2: Oxford to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 24% / 39%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Barnsley and 2.0 for Oxford; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Oxford, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.1 – 2.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score57%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Barnsley

Attack 11th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

LLLLD
  • L 1-2 at Reading 2026-10-24
  • L 1-2 at Luton 2026-10-20
  • L 1-2 v Cambridge 2026-10-17
  • L 1-3 at Stockport 2026-10-10
  • D 1-1 v Leicester 2026-09-19

Oxford

Attack 1st of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.

WDWDW
  • W 1-0 v Stockport 2026-10-27
  • D 0-0 v Bradford 2026-10-24
  • W 2-1 v Wigan 2026-10-20
  • D 1-1 at Mansfield 2026-10-15
  • W 2-1 at Notts County 2026-10-10

From 1247 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sat 31 Oct

More England League One games on Sat 31 Oct