Brit Predictor

Nantes vs Clermont prediction

France Ligue 2 · Friday 30 October 2026, 20:00 WAT

Full timeNantes 1–1 ClermontResult X

Who wins?

NantesDrawClermont
Model 12 ✗
36%28%36%
Market 1 ✗
67%21%13%

Brit Predictor's model rates Nantes to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Nantes 36% at home, a draw 28% and Clermont 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 67% / 21% / 13%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Nantes and 1.2 for Clermont; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Nantes, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams score50%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Nantes

Attack 13th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.

LLDWL
  • L 0-1 at St Etienne 2026-10-24
  • L 2-3 v Dunkerque 2026-10-17
  • D 0-0 v Reims 2026-10-10
  • W 2-1 at Boulogne 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 at Sochaux 2026-09-12

Clermont

Attack 16th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.

LDLDD
  • L 0-2 v Guingamp 2026-10-23
  • D 3-3 at Laval 2026-10-16
  • L 2-3 v Red Star 2026-10-10
  • D 1-1 at Grenoble 2026-09-18
  • D 0-0 v Boulogne 2026-09-11

From 701 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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