Metz vs Pau FC prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 30 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Metz to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Metz 62% at home, a draw 19% and Pau FC 18%, so its call is 1: Metz to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 27% / 28%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.3 for Metz and 1.2 for Pau FC; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Metz, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Metz
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Dunkerque 2026-10-23
- W 3-2 v Sochaux 2026-10-17
- L 2-4 at Dijon 2026-10-12
- D 2-2 v St Etienne 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Red Star 2026-09-14
Pau FC
Attack 9th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Grenoble 2026-10-23
- W 2-1 at Guingamp 2026-10-16
- W 3-2 v Laval 2026-10-09
- W 2-0 v Dunkerque 2026-09-18
- L 0-1 at Montpellier 2026-09-11
From 701 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 30 Oct
- Grenoble vs Dijon · FT 1–3
- Laval vs Boulogne · FT 1–0
- Nantes vs Clermont · FT 1–1
- Rodez vs Dunkerque · FT 1–0