Frosinone vs Lecce prediction
Italy Serie A · Thursday 29 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Frosinone to win as the most likely result (72%). It gives Frosinone 72% at home, a draw 16% and Lecce 12%, so its call is 1: Frosinone to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 22% / 22%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.6 for Frosinone and 1.0 for Lecce; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Frosinone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Frosinone
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 19th of 20 in the league.
- D 4-4 at Atalanta 2026-10-25
- W 4-2 v Sassuolo 2026-10-16
- L 0-3 at Napoli 2026-10-10
- W 2-0 v Como 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 at Genoa 2026-09-12
Lecce
Attack 18th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Juventus 2026-10-25
- W 3-0 at Udinese 2026-10-18
- L 1-2 v Bologna 2026-10-11
- L 0-3 at Milan 2026-09-20
- W 3-2 v Monza 2026-09-13
From 848 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Thu 29 Oct
- Fiorentina vs Atalanta · FT 2–2