Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction
Italy Serie A · Thursday 29 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Atalanta to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Fiorentina 26% at home, a draw 25% and Atalanta 49%, so its call is 2: Atalanta to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 25% / 34%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Fiorentina and 1.6 for Atalanta; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Fiorentina
Attack 12th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Inter 2026-10-25
- L 1-3 v Como 2026-10-18
- L 1-2 at Genoa 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 v Napoli 2026-09-20
- W 4-2 at Venezia 2026-09-11
Atalanta
Attack 5th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- D 4-4 v Frosinone 2026-10-25
- L 2-3 at Milan 2026-10-18
- W 3-1 v Venezia 2026-10-12
- L 0-2 at Juventus 2026-09-20
- L 1-2 v Cagliari 2026-09-12
From 848 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Thu 29 Oct
- Frosinone vs Lecce · FT 5–1