Sutton vs Aldershot prediction
England National League · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sutton to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Sutton 41% at home, a draw 24% and Aldershot 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 24% / 24%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sutton and 1.4 for Aldershot; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sutton
Attack 20th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Harrogate 2026-10-24
- L 0-2 v Boreham Wood 2026-10-09
- D 1-1 at Kidderminster 2026-10-03
- L 0-2 at Tamworth 2026-09-30
- D 3-3 v Forest Green 2026-09-26
Aldershot
Attack 13th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Wealdstone 2026-10-24
- L 1-3 at Altrincham 2026-10-10
- L 1-3 v Carlisle 2026-10-03
- L 1-2 at Hornchurch 2026-09-29
- W 5-1 v Tamworth 2026-09-26
From 1278 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Wed 28 Oct
- Carlisle vs Harrogate · FT 3–0
- Forest Green vs Eastleigh · FT 2–0