Carlisle vs Harrogate prediction
England National League · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Carlisle to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Carlisle 42% at home, a draw 22% and Harrogate 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 24% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.8 for Carlisle and 1.6 for Harrogate; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Harrogate, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Carlisle
Attack 4th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Solihull 2026-10-24
- D 0-0 v Kidderminster 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 at Aldershot 2026-10-03
- W 2-0 at Fylde 2026-09-29
- L 2-5 v Woking 2026-09-26
Harrogate
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Sutton 2026-10-24
- W 1-0 at Woking 2026-10-10
- W 3-0 v Hornchurch 2026-10-03
- W 1-0 at Hartlepool 2026-09-29
- W 4-1 v Eastleigh 2026-09-26
From 1278 league matches since 2024-08-10, recent games weighted more.
More England National League games on Wed 28 Oct
- Forest Green vs Eastleigh · FT 2–0
- Sutton vs Aldershot · FT 2–0