St Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction
Scotland Premiership · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Motherwell to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives St Johnstone 29% at home, a draw 27% and Motherwell 44%, so its call is 2: Motherwell to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 27% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for St Johnstone and 1.4 for Motherwell; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on St Johnstone, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
St Johnstone
Attack 11th of 12, defence 10th of 12 in the league.
- L 0-4 at Rangers 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 v Dundee United 2026-10-17
- W 1-0 at Aberdeen 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 v Falkirk 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 v Celtic 2026-09-09
Motherwell
Attack 5th of 12, defence 5th of 12 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Hearts 2026-10-25
- L 2-3 at Kilmarnock 2026-10-17
- L 0-2 v Celtic 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 at Dundee 2026-09-19
- L 0-4 v Aberdeen 2026-09-15
From 516 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.
More Scotland Premiership games on Wed 28 Oct
- St Mirren vs Hibernian · FT 1–1
- Aberdeen vs Falkirk · FT 0–1
- Celtic vs Dundee United · FT 2–2
- Dundee vs Kilmarnock · FT 3–1
- Hearts vs Rangers · FT 2–2