Brit Predictor

Aberdeen vs Falkirk prediction

Scotland Premiership · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT

Full timeAberdeen 0–1 FalkirkResult 2

Who wins?

AberdeenDrawFalkirk
Model 12 ✓
40%27%34%
Market 1 ✗
51%26%24%

Brit Predictor's model rates Aberdeen to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Aberdeen 40% at home, a draw 27% and Falkirk 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Aberdeen and 1.2 for Falkirk; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score51%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Aberdeen

Attack 10th of 12, defence 6th of 12 in the league.

LWLDW
  • L 2-3 at Dundee United 2026-10-24
  • W 3-1 v St Mirren 2026-10-17
  • L 0-1 v St Johnstone 2026-10-11
  • D 1-1 at Hibernian 2026-09-19
  • W 4-0 at Motherwell 2026-09-15

Falkirk

Attack 6th of 12, defence 7th of 12 in the league.

WWLDW
  • W 3-0 v Kilmarnock 2026-10-24
  • W 2-1 at Hibernian 2026-10-17
  • L 1-2 v Dundee 2026-10-10
  • D 1-1 at St Johnstone 2026-09-19
  • W 2-1 v Hearts 2026-09-15

From 516 league matches since 2024-08-03, recent games weighted more.

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