Monza vs Napoli prediction
Italy Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Napoli to win as the most likely result (70%). It gives Monza 13% at home, a draw 18% and Napoli 70%, so its call is 2: Napoli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 17% / 21% / 62%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.9 for Monza and 2.3 for Napoli; the single most likely score is 0-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Monza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Monza
Attack 14th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Torino 2026-10-23
- W 4-0 v Cagliari 2026-10-19
- L 1-3 at Lazio 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Sassuolo 2026-09-18
- L 2-3 at Lecce 2026-09-13
Napoli
Attack 6th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- D 3-3 v Roma 2026-10-24
- L 0-1 at Venezia 2026-10-17
- W 3-0 v Frosinone 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 at Fiorentina 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Bologna 2026-09-13
From 843 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Wed 28 Oct
- Parma vs Udinese · FT 0–0
- Venezia vs Inter · FT 0–2
- Milan vs Bologna · FT 2–4
- Genoa vs Juventus · FT 2–0