Milan vs Bologna prediction
Italy Serie A · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
Full timeMilan 2–4 BolognaResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
MilanDrawBologna
Model 1 ✗
50%26%24%
Market 1 ✗
58%25%17%
Brit Predictor's model rates Milan to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Milan 50% at home, a draw 26% and Bologna 24%, so its call is 1: Milan to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 25% / 17%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Milan and 1.0 for Bologna; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score48%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Milan
Attack 7th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
WWDWD
- W 2-0 at Udinese 2026-10-25
- W 3-2 v Atalanta 2026-10-18
- D 1-1 at Sassuolo 2026-10-11
- W 3-0 v Lecce 2026-09-20
- D 2-2 at Lazio 2026-09-12
Bologna
Attack 11th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
WLWDL
- W 2-0 at Cagliari 2026-10-24
- L 1-3 v Inter 2026-10-17
- W 2-1 at Lecce 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 v Torino 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Napoli 2026-09-13
From 843 league matches since 2024-08-17, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie A games on Wed 28 Oct
- Parma vs Udinese · FT 0–0
- Venezia vs Inter · FT 0–2
- Genoa vs Juventus · FT 2–0
- Monza vs Napoli · FT 1–4