Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:45 WAT
Full timeSparta Rotterdam 1–2 AjaxResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Sparta RotterdamDrawAjax
Model 2 ✓
17%23%60%
Market 2 ✓
16%19%65%
Brit Predictor's model rates Ajax to win as the most likely result (60%). It gives Sparta Rotterdam 17% at home, a draw 23% and Ajax 60%, so its call is 2: Ajax to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 16% / 19% / 65%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.0 for Sparta Rotterdam and 2.1 for Ajax; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.0 – 2.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score57%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack 16th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
WDLLD
- W 3-2 v Willem II 2026-10-17
- D 3-3 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-10-10
- L 0-4 v Heerenveen 2026-09-19
- L 1-4 at PSV Eindhoven 2026-09-13
- D 2-2 v Zwolle 2026-09-04
Ajax
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
WDDWW
- W 5-2 at Groningen 2026-10-18
- D 1-1 v Nijmegen 2026-10-10
- D 2-2 v Excelsior 2026-09-19
- W 5-1 v Willem II 2026-09-15
- W 5-1 at For Sittard 2026-09-12
From 697 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 25 Oct
- For Sittard vs Excelsior · FT 1–0
- PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord · FT 1–1
- Nijmegen vs Groningen · FT 2–2
- AZ Alkmaar vs Twente · FT 0–2