Brit Predictor

AZ Alkmaar vs Twente prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 25 October 2026, 20:00 WAT

Full timeAZ Alkmaar 0–2 TwenteResult 2

Who wins?

AZ AlkmaarDrawTwente
Model 12 ✓
39%28%32%
Market 12 ✓
41%24%35%

Brit Predictor's model rates AZ Alkmaar to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives AZ Alkmaar 39% at home, a draw 28% and Twente 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 24% / 35%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.4 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.3 for Twente; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score57%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

AZ Alkmaar

Attack 8th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.

DLWDW
  • D 2-2 at Cambuur 2026-10-18
  • L 0-2 at Feyenoord 2026-10-10
  • W 1-0 v Telstar 2026-09-20
  • D 1-1 v Willem II 2026-09-11
  • W 3-2 at Heerenveen 2026-09-06

Twente

Attack 7th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.

LDWWW
  • L 1-2 v Utrecht 2026-10-18
  • D 1-1 at For Sittard 2026-10-10
  • W 3-2 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-09-20
  • W 2-0 v Den Haag 2026-09-12
  • W 1-0 v Telstar 2026-09-09

From 697 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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